Gornyak vs Oktan Perm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gornyak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 1
GUC
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
RUB
2 - 2
GUC
36%
26%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
GUC
1 - 1
NOS
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
GUC
0 - 4
GAZ
9%
22%
69%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 1
GUC
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Oktan Perm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2013 |
OKT
3 - 0
AKT
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
OKT
0 - 2
SYZ
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
DIN
1 - 0
OKT
47%
25%
29%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 5
OKT
40%
24%
37%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
RUB
0 - 0
OKT
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |