Gornyak vs Lokomotiv Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
71.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gornyak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
VOL
0 - 0
GUC
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
GUC
5 - 0
DIN
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
GUC
3 - 2
URA
17%
23%
60%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
SOK
0 - 1
GUC
39%
27%
35%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2010 |
GUC
1 - 0
FCC
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
ANZ
1 - 2
LOK
24%
27%
49%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
LOK
2 - 0
PER
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
NAL
1 - 1
LOK
39%
27%
35%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
LOK
0 - 1
SAT
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
TER
0 - 0
LOK
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |