Gornyak vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gornyak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
RUB
2 - 2
GUC
12%
22%
67%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
GUC
2 - 0
DIN
80%
15%
5%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
UFA
1 - 0
GUC
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
GUC
2 - 1
OKT
69%
20%
12%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NEF
2 - 2
GUC
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
SYZ
3 - 0
KHI
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
KHI
2 - 1
RUB
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
DIN
1 - 1
KHI
23%
26%
51%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
KHI
1 - 2
UFA
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
OKT
2 - 1
KHI
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |