Gornyak vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gornyak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
GUC
1 - 0
LOK
10%
19%
71%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
VOL
0 - 0
GUC
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
GUC
5 - 0
DIN
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
GUC
3 - 2
URA
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
SOK
0 - 1
GUC
39%
27%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2010 |
KHI
2 - 3
TYU
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
SGI
3 - 0
KHI
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
KHI
3 - 2
RUB
74%
16%
9%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2010 |
AKT
2 - 0
KHI
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2010 |
KHI
0 - 2
UFA
21%
25%
54%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |