Górnik Łęczna vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Górnik Łęczna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
GOR
1 - 0
SWI
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
OWD
2 - 0
GOR
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
GOR
4 - 1
GKS
33%
31%
37%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
WLO
0 - 1
GOR
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
GOR
1 - 0
DYS
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
GKS
1 - 1
POL
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
WLO
2 - 1
POL
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
DYS
2 - 2
POL
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
POL
0 - 1
WAR
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
PLO
0 - 0
POL
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |