Gornal vs Morell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gornal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TTE
1 - 1
GOR
33%
21%
46%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CEE
4 - 1
GOR
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 2
SJU
36%
22%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CFV
2 - 0
GOR
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GOR
2 - 1
SAR
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 3
CEE
27%
23%
50%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SJU
4 - 0
MOR
75%
15%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
CFV
23%
23%
54%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
MOR
31%
23%
46%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
SFC
35%
26%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |