Gorleston vs St. Albans City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gorleston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
GOR
52%
22%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 2
BAR
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IPS
2 - 0
GOR
19%
19%
62%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -3 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 0
WAL
34%
24%
41%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MUL
1 - 3
GOR
38%
25%
38%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
St. Albans City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NEE
0 - 3
STA
36%
25%
40%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
WES
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
TON
2 - 0
STA
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 0
STA
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
DOR
2 - 1
STA
44%
23%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |