Gorleston vs Hemel Hempstead Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gorleston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BED
2 - 3
GOR
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
BOW
3 - 1
GOR
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HEY
1 - 3
GOR
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 2
LOW
32%
21%
47%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 2
GOR
51%
22%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Hemel Hempstead Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HEM
3 - 2
GUL
26%
26%
47%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ROY
1 - 3
HEM
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 1
HEM
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
CHM
1 - 2
HEM
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HEM
0 - 0
WHI
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |