ND Gorica vs Zagorje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
OLI
2 - 3
GOR
45%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
MUR
1 - 2
GOR
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
GOR
2 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
NKP
2 - 3
GOR
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
GOR
2 - 0
DOM
62%
22%
17%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zagorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ZAG
0 - 1
NKD
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 0
ZAG
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
ZAG
0 - 3
MUR
29%
27%
45%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
ZAG
72%
18%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
ZAG
0 - 1
NKP
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |