ND Gorica vs Smartno 1928 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
FKN
0 - 0
GOR
60%
22%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
FCK
2 - 0
GOR
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
GOR
1 - 3
CEL
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
KOR
3 - 1
GOR
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
FCK
3 - 2
GOR
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Smartno 1928
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
SMA
0 - 1
TRI
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 2
SMA
86%
10%
4%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
FCK
3 - 1
SMA
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
SMA
2 - 0
TOL
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
BRD
3 - 4
SMA
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |