ND Gorica vs Rudar Velenje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
6º
1º
4
8º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
15 | 57 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 54 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 54 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 51 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 50 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 41 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 40 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 37 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 37 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 36 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 35 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 34 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 31 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
|
16º
|
4 | 30 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 27 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
37.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCM
2 - 0
GOR
45%
24%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 2
BUD
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
DOM
3 - 1
GOR
64%
20%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ROG
1 - 1
GOR
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 0
GOR
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Rudar Velenje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
RUD
0 - 5
KRK
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 0
RUD
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RUD
1 - 0
DEK
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NKN
0 - 0
RUD
66%
20%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 1
RUD
60%
21%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |