ND Gorica vs Nafta Lendava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
GOR
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
GOR
2 - 0
NKP
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
FCK
2 - 0
GOR
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
GOR
2 - 1
CEL
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
DOM
1 - 1
GOR
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
NKN
5 - 0
RUD
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
BEL
1 - 4
NKN
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
NKN
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
NKN
1 - 0
NKP
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
FCK
0 - 2
NKN
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |