ND Gorica vs Mura 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
GOR
1 - 3
MAR
46%
25%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 0
GOR
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
GOR
4 - 1
RUD
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
NKN
1 - 1
GOR
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
GOR
0 - 0
DOM
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mura 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 0
CSK
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 1
RUD
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 0
FKB
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
FKB
0 - 0
MUR
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MUR
3 - 0
CEL
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |