Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 0-9
ND Gorica vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
49.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
GOR
0 - 0
LJU
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
FCK
0 - 5
GOR
67%
21%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
FCK
0 - 2
GOR
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
GOR
1 - 2
FCK
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
GOR
3 - 1
FLO
41%
24%
35%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
ASS
0 - 1
MON
18%
25%
56%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2004 |
MON
0 - 3
FCP
62%
20%
18%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
GIR
1 - 3
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
MON
1 - 4
REN
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
STR
0 - 0
MON
22%
26%
53%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |