ND Gorica vs NK Krka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
6º
1º
18
7º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 44 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
40% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
35.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BIL
2 - 2
GOR
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 0
GOR
31%
26%
44%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DRA
0 - 6
GOR
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 1
NKP
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 1
BIS
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
NK Krka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
5 - 0
KRK
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KRK
1 - 0
ILI
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ALU
2 - 1
KRK
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KRK
0 - 3
TOL
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKI
1 - 5
KRK
54%
21%
25%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +3 |