ND Gorica vs Ilirija 1911 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
FUZ
1 - 2
GOR
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
GOR
1 - 3
TAS
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
GOR
0 - 1
STR
16%
21%
63%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
GOR
0 - 1
DRA
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
GOR
1 - 0
NKN
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ilirija 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ILI
2 - 0
KRS
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ILI
4 - 2
FUZ
35%
27%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 1
ILI
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ILI
0 - 0
BIL
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ILI
0 - 2
TRI
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |