Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 3-2
ND Gorica vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
RUD
1 - 1
GOR
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2000 |
FKN
1 - 0
GOR
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
NKM
0 - 1
GOR
40%
28%
33%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
GOR
2 - 0
FCK
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
TAS
2 - 2
GOR
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2000 |
FKN
1 - 0
GOR
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1999 |
CRV
1 - 0
FKN
69%
17%
13%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
FKN
2 - 3
CRV
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
WLO
8 - 0
FKN
76%
14%
10%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
FKN
0 - 2
WLO
41%
23%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |