ND Gorica vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 3
GOR
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
GOR
3 - 1
MUR
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
GOR
1 - 3
MAR
46%
25%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 0
GOR
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
GOR
4 - 1
RUD
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
RUD
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 1
CEL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
TRI
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 1
DAC
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
DAC
1 - 0
CEL
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |