ND Gorica vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
CRE
0 - 5
GOR
8%
15%
77%
|
74 | 21 | 53 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
FCK
1 - 1
GOR
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GOR
1 - 1
DOM
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 1
GOR
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
GOR
2 - 3
MAR
52%
24%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
MUR
3 - 5
CEL
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CEL
3 - 1
NKI
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NKD
0 - 1
CEL
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 2
NKN
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
FCK
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |