Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 2-1
ND Gorica vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
NKM
2 - 0
GOR
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
BEL
0 - 0
GOR
33%
28%
40%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 0
GOR
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
GOR
3 - 0
BEL
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
GOR
4 - 1
NKM
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 2
RHY
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAN
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1999 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAR
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
CAR
0 - 2
NEW
53%
23%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1999 |
CAR
5 - 1
HOL
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |