ND Gorica vs Beltinci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
6º
1º
20
1º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 56 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 53 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 49 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 44 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 36 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
40% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
35.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 5
NSV
61%
22%
16%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ILI
1 - 3
GOR
19%
25%
57%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 1
ALU
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 3
GOR
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 1
DEK
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Beltinci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 2
ILI
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
4 - 0
TRI
41%
23%
36%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
ALU
2 - 1
BEL
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
TOL
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
DEK
2 - 0
BEL
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |