ND Gorica vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
DOM
3 - 0
GOR
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
CEL
2 - 0
GOR
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
GOR
0 - 1
OLI
37%
27%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
GOR
2 - 0
KRS
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
GOR
4 - 0
BRI
89%
9%
2%
|
71 | 31 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ALU
1 - 2
CEL
31%
27%
43%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
OLI
5 - 1
ALU
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
ALU
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
AHS
1 - 1
ALU
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
ALU
1 - 2
RUD
36%
24%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |