Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
ND Gorica vs Aluminij analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
GOR
3 - 0
FCK
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
ALU
0 - 1
GOR
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RUD
2 - 1
GOR
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GOR
4 - 0
ZAV
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DOM
1 - 1
GOR
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ALU
2 - 1
KRS
70%
18%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
ALU
0 - 1
GOR
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
RAD
0 - 1
ALU
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ALU
2 - 1
BEL
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALU
0 - 1
NKV
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |