Europa League 1/32
Global 1-2
ND Gorica vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
GOR
2 - 0
MUR
53%
24%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 2
GOR
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
MON
6 - 0
GOR
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
GOR
0 - 0
NKP
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
DOM
1 - 2
GOR
32%
26%
41%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
KAL
1 - 3
AEK
25%
24%
51%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
AEK
2 - 2
OFI
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
XAN
1 - 2
AEK
27%
25%
48%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
AEK
1 - 0
PAN
86%
10%
4%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
PRO
2 - 4
AEK
15%
23%
62%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |