Gor Mahia vs Nairobi City Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
13.2%
2-0
17%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gor Mahia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
GOR
2 - 0
USH
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
KCB
1 - 6
GOR
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 1
GOR
28%
28%
45%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
GOR
2 - 0
THI
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 4
GOR
17%
29%
55%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nairobi City Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
NAI
2 - 0
MAT
28%
29%
43%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
SOF
2 - 0
NAI
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
NAI
1 - 1
CHE
39%
29%
32%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
NAI
1 - 2
AFC
21%
28%
52%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
NAI
0 - 2
ULI
23%
29%
47%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |