Gonzaga vs Saint Mary's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
71.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gonzaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
GBD
1 - 4
SCB
11%
17%
72%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
PPT
4 - 1
GBD
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SFD
2 - 3
GBD
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GBD
1 - 2
LML
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
SDT
2 - 3
GBD
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Saint Mary's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LML
2 - 0
SMG
57%
21%
23%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
SMG
0 - 1
SCB
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SMG
1 - 0
PTG
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SFD
2 - 2
SMG
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SMG
1 - 0
PPT
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |