Gondomar vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
LUS
5 - 0
GON
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GON
2 - 0
SOB
56%
25%
19%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
COI
1 - 1
GON
44%
28%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GON
1 - 1
CIN
43%
29%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 1
GON
25%
29%
46%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
ADO
1 - 2
VIL
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIL
5 - 1
AMA
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
TIR
2 - 3
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 0
FEL
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +5 |