Gondomar vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
GON
2 - 0
LEC
78%
16%
6%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
0 - 0
GON
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
GON
1 - 0
LUS
40%
28%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 5
GON
8%
15%
78%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GON
2 - 1
AMA
39%
27%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ANA
3 - 1
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 3
GAF
29%
24%
48%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 2
PEN
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
PEN
3 - 1
PED
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +5 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CES
3 - 1
PEN
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |