Gondomar vs Guarda FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+396%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
8º
14º
8º
3
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 49 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 48 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 48 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 40 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 39 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 38 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
22% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GON
1 - 0
GAN
61%
20%
20%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GON
2 - 1
UNI
70%
17%
14%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALP
1 - 0
GON
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GON
0 - 3
CIN
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
GON
34%
29%
38%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guarda FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GFC
0 - 1
LEX
6%
12%
83%
|
13 | 62 | 49 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CIN
1 - 0
GFC
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GFC
5 - 4
EST
11%
14%
75%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | +4 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GFC
3 - 2
COI
13%
18%
69%
|
6 | 24 | 18 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ADM
4 - 0
GFC
83%
11%
6%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | 0 |