Gondomar vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
GON
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
COI
3 - 0
GON
50%
26%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GON
0 - 3
EST
32%
27%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
GON
60%
23%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
RTI
2 - 1
GON
15%
21%
64%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CES
0 - 1
SAL
11%
25%
65%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
MOI
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
CES
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
COI
42%
27%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
FEI
3 - 0
CES
83%
13%
4%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | -1 |