Gondomar vs Alpendorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
7º
7º
29
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 67% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 2
GON
59%
24%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
GON
2 - 1
CAM
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
GON
16%
21%
63%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -3 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GON
2 - 0
LEC
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
GON
31%
29%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ALP
0 - 1
SAL
18%
23%
60%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
REB
2 - 1
ALP
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 0
RES
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 3
VAL
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 1
ALP
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |