Petrópolis vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
NCI
1 - 2
PET
23%
21%
57%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
PET
1 - 1
SFC
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CMA
1 - 1
PET
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
PET
1 - 1
RIO
74%
16%
11%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
DUQ
0 - 1
PET
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
SER
0 - 0
CMA
25%
22%
54%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 1
SER
17%
20%
63%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
SER
0 - 0
DUQ
31%
26%
44%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
OLA
2 - 2
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
SER
0 - 3
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |