Rio Cup Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 4-1
Petrópolis vs Paduano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PET
2 - 0
ADC
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PET
1 - 2
AUD
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
PAD
3 - 0
PET
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
PET
30%
26%
43%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PET
0 - 0
AFC
48%
25%
26%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paduano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
PAD
3 - 0
PET
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
PAD
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 2
BAR
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 7
PAD
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
FRI
1 - 0
PAD
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |