Petrópolis vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
OLA
2 - 1
PET
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CMA
4 - 1
PET
28%
25%
48%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PET
1 - 0
RES
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AME
2 - 0
PET
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DUQ
1 - 0
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
DUQ
50%
26%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
DUQ
0 - 0
ADC
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OLA
0 - 1
DUQ
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SFC
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |