Petrópolis vs CEAC / Araruama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PET
1 - 2
AUD
32%
27%
42%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
PAD
3 - 0
PET
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
PET
30%
26%
43%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PET
0 - 0
AFC
48%
25%
26%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 0
PET
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 1
AME
28%
25%
48%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
OLA
2 - 1
ADC
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 0
AUD
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CMA
1 - 0
ADC
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 1
RES
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |