Gomel vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
11º
7º
32
5º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
38 | 62 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 58 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 57 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 44 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 44 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 43 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 42 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 36 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
14º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gomel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 0
GOM
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
GOM
1 - 2
SHA
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
ISL
1 - 0
GOM
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
GOM
0 - 0
VIT
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
DNP
0 - 1
GOM
29%
26%
44%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 3
NAF
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 2
FKA
28%
28%
45%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 0
FCS
62%
21%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 2
DNM
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 0
BAT
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |