Gomel vs FK Smorgon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
6º
11º
6º
32
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gomel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GOM
2 - 0
BAT
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NEM
1 - 1
GOM
42%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GOM
1 - 2
FKS
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
GOM
1 - 2
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 3
GOM
24%
22%
54%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 0
NAF
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
MIN
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 2
DIN
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 2
BEL
40%
23%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
FCS
17%
19%
65%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |