Gomel vs Dinamo Minsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
40.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
11º
5º
44
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
44 | 62 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 58 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 55 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 52 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 45 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 44 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 42 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 39 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
12º
|
60.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 27 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 26 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 61% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 36.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gomel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 3
GOM
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
GOM
2 - 3
NEM
34%
26%
41%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 1
GOM
34%
27%
40%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ZOR
1 - 3
GOM
31%
24%
45%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GOM
2 - 2
NAF
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Minsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DNM
2 - 2
NAF
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 0
DNM
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 1
DNM
24%
24%
53%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DNM
5 - 0
FCS
75%
17%
9%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DNM
2 - 3
BAT
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -2 |