Golling vs Thalgau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
15º
14º
34
8º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 0
GOL
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 2
UNI
72%
16%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ANI
3 - 1
GOL
28%
20%
52%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
2 - 0
STR
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
GOL
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UFV
1 - 2
PUC
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
GRO
5 - 0
UFV
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UFV
2 - 2
USC
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SEE
2 - 1
UFV
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UFV
0 - 6
KUC
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -3 |