Golling vs UFC Maria Alm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
KUC
0 - 1
GOL
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GOL
2 - 2
HAL
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
GOL
2 - 1
PUC
46%
21%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BER
5 - 0
GOL
53%
22%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
GOL
2 - 0
GRO
19%
19%
63%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
UFC Maria Alm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UMA
0 - 2
BER
9%
16%
76%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GRO
7 - 1
UMA
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
UMA
1 - 3
WAL
7%
13%
80%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALT
3 - 2
UMA
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
UMA
0 - 3
STR
8%
14%
78%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |