Golling vs Puch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-90%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SCL
5 - 1
GOL
36%
24%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
GOL
5 - 1
UNI
48%
23%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
USC
5 - 2
GOL
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GOL
4 - 2
HAL
37%
23%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
PUC
3 - 2
STR
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
SCL
5 - 1
PUC
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
PUC
2 - 0
WAL
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
PUC
24%
22%
54%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
SAL
5 - 0
PUC
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |