Goleadori vs Sasco II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goleadori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
ACH
5 - 1
FGT
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
SOK
1 - 3
FGT
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
FGT
4 - 2
IBE
68%
18%
15%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sasco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
SAS
1 - 4
IVE
11%
18%
71%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
IVE
5 - 0
SAS
87%
9%
3%
|
11 | 48 | 37 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
SAS
1 - 3
ADU
13%
19%
68%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 0
SAS
83%
12%
5%
|
12 | 58 | 46 | -1 |