Goleadori vs Mark Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goleadori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
FGT
3 - 4
RUS
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
DUR
7 - 1
FGT
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
IVE
1 - 3
FGT
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
FGT
3 - 1
IVE
16%
20%
64%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
ADU
3 - 2
FGT
43%
23%
35%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mark Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 0
IVE
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
IVE
0 - 1
MAR
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 1
ADU
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
ALA
0 - 3
MAR
62%
21%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 0
FPT
88%
9%
4%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |