Golden Arrows vs Natal United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.6%
3-0
15%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.5%
3.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GAR
0 - 2
GOL
25%
26%
50%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GOL
3 - 1
COS
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
GOL
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 0
GOL
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
GOL
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Natal United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
NAT
85%
11%
4%
|
10 | 62 | 52 | 0 |