Golden Arrows vs Durban City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 0
CHI
35%
27%
37%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
GOL
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
4 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
PLS
1 - 0
GOL
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
4 - 2
BLA
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
PLS
1 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
BLA
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
4 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
BLO
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
BLO
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |