Golden Arrows vs Durban City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
PLS
1 - 0
GOL
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
4 - 2
BLA
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
5 - 0
NWS
88%
9%
3%
|
60 | 7 | 53 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 2
SSU
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
BLO
3 - 2
GOL
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
BLO
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
BLO
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PIR
1 - 0
MAR
61%
25%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
AJA
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
BID
0 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |