Golden Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
11º
9º
36
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GOL
3 - 1
MPU
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 1
GOL
36%
28%
37%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 2
GOL
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
0 - 0
SFC
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
SSU
0 - 3
GOL
49%
27%
25%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 1
AMA
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 1
MPU
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 1
SUF
50%
28%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
SSU
1 - 0
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |