Golden Arrows vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
GOL
2 - 1
BLO
42%
29%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
SSU
5 - 2
GOL
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
GOL
0 - 2
CHI
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
GOL
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
GOL
0 - 0
BID
30%
29%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 0
SSU
30%
29%
42%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
3 - 1
FRE
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 0
MPU
28%
28%
45%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BID
3 - 1
FRE
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 0
BAR
45%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |