Golden Arrows vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
MPU
2 - 4
GOL
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 1
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 4
PIR
25%
29%
47%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BLO
0 - 0
GOL
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GOL
0 - 2
BAR
36%
23%
41%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 1
MAR
48%
26%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 0
BID
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BID
0 - 0
FRE
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
PIR
1 - 0
FRE
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
FRE
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |