Golden Arrows vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
21.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 3
GOL
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
GOL
2 - 0
VAS
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 0
GOL
62%
24%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SWA
2 - 0
GOL
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 1
GOL
47%
28%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FRE
1 - 1
VAS
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
PIR
0 - 0
FRE
53%
27%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FRE
0 - 0
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
FRE
1 - 3
BID
58%
22%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FRE
2 - 0
MPU
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |